Economic calendar

04:00 CAD Canada Annual Budget ReleaseAnnual Budget Release

What it is: Canada's federal government, through the Department of Finance, presents its plans for revenue, spending, the deficit and borrowing for the fiscal year.
Why it matters: The budget shows the direction of fiscal policy, such as spending levels and government debt, which can affect economic growth and confidence in the Canadian dollar. Its importance is usually moderate and depends on whether it contains surprises.
Usual market reaction: Markets usually compare the actual numbers, such as the size of the deficit and borrowing plans, with what analysts expected. If the plan looks more disciplined or more growth-friendly than expected, the Canadian dollar (CAD) often gets support, while a much larger deficit or borrowing need than expected can weigh on it. The budget can also influence bond yields and interest-rate expectations, but reactions tend to be modest without surprises.

20:30 CAD Canada Unemployment RateUnemployment Rate Forecast 6.5%Previous 6.5%

What it is: The unemployment rate is the share of people in the labour force who are without a job and looking for work. It is published monthly by Statistics Canada.
Why it matters: It is a key gauge of the Canadian job market and one of the inputs the Bank of Canada looks at when considering interest rates. It is usually released together with the employment change figure.
Usual market reaction: Prices usually react to the actual figure compared with the forecast. Unlike job-growth data, a lower-than-forecast unemployment rate tends to support the Canadian dollar because it points to a strong job market, while a higher-than-forecast rate often weighs on it. The reaction often also depends on the employment figure released at the same time.

20:30 CAD Canada Employment ChangeEmployment Change Forecast 14.6KPrevious -68.3K

What it is: This shows how many more or fewer people in Canada had a job in the previous month. It is published by Statistics Canada as part of its Labour Force Survey.
Why it matters: Employment reflects the strength of the Canadian economy and is one of the factors the Bank of Canada considers when setting interest rates, so it is an important release for the Canadian dollar.
Usual market reaction: Prices usually react to the actual figure compared with the forecast. A higher-than-forecast job gain tends to support the Canadian dollar, as it suggests a healthy economy, while a lower-than-forecast or negative result often weighs on it. USD/CAD can be especially volatile when this is released alongside US jobs data.

20:30 USD Average Hourly Earnings m/m Forecast 0.3%Previous 0.1%

What it is: This shows how much average hourly pay for US workers changed compared with the previous month. It is published by the US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) alongside the NFP jobs report.
Why it matters: Rising wages can push up prices, so this figure is linked to the Fed's interest rate decisions. It is usually considered a very important release.
Usual market reaction: Markets tend to react to the actual figure compared with the forecast. A higher-than-forecast result usually supports the US dollar (USD), while a lower one usually weighs on it. Gold often moves in the opposite direction to the dollar, so a stronger dollar tends to pressure gold.

20:30 USD Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP)Non-Farm Employment Change Forecast 65KPrevious 29K

What it is: NFP shows how many jobs the US economy added or lost in the previous month, excluding farm work. It is published by the US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
Why it matters: The job market reflects the health of the US economy and influences the Federal Reserve's interest-rate decisions, so this is one of the most closely watched releases in the world.
Usual market reaction: Prices usually react to the actual figure compared with the forecast. A higher-than-forecast number tends to support the US dollar, as it points to a strong economy and may keep interest rates higher for longer; a lower-than-forecast number often weighs on the dollar. Gold often moves in the opposite direction to the dollar, and both currencies and US stock indices can be very volatile around the release.

20:30 USD US Unemployment RateUnemployment Rate Forecast 4.2%Previous 4.2%

What it is: The unemployment rate is the share of the US labour force that has no job but is actively looking for one. It is published by the US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) together with the NFP report.
Why it matters: Employment is one of the Federal Reserve's two main goals alongside inflation, so this figure shapes expectations for interest rates and is closely watched.
Usual market reaction: Prices usually react to the actual figure compared with the forecast. A lower-than-forecast unemployment rate tends to support the US dollar because it signals a strong job market, while a higher-than-forecast rate often weighs on it. Gold often moves in the opposite direction to the dollar, so it may find support when the dollar weakens.

22:00 CAD Ivey PMI (Canada)Ivey PMI Forecast 57.7Previous 58.2

What it is: The Ivey Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) is published by the Ivey Business School and is based on a survey of purchasing managers across Canada about business activity.
Why it matters: Purchasing managers often see changes in demand early, so the index gives a timely read on the health of the Canadian economy. A reading above 50 usually signals expansion and below 50 contraction. Its importance is usually moderate.
Usual market reaction: Markets usually compare the actual reading with the forecast. A higher-than-forecast result tends to support the Canadian dollar (CAD) because it points to a stronger economy, while a lower-than-forecast result often weighs on it. Moves are usually smaller than for major data such as jobs figures or Bank of Canada rate decisions.

22:00 USD UoM Consumer Sentiment (Preliminary)Prelim UoM Consumer Sentiment Forecast 48.1Previous 46.3

What it is: A survey of how American households feel about the economy and their own finances, produced by the University of Michigan. The preliminary reading usually comes out mid-month, followed by a final figure later.
Why it matters: Consumer spending is a large part of the US economy, and the survey also includes inflation expectations that the Fed pays attention to. It is usually a medium-impact release.
Usual market reaction: Markets usually compare the actual figure with the forecast. A higher-than-forecast reading tends to support the US dollar because confident consumers may spend more, while a lower reading often weighs on it. Gold sometimes moves in the opposite direction to the dollar, and the inflation expectations in the report can also shift views on interest rates.

22:00 USD Prelim UoM Inflation Expectations (US)Prelim UoM Inflation Expectations Previous 4.7%

What it is: A preliminary survey from the University of Michigan (UoM) asking US consumers how much they expect prices to rise, over both the next year and the longer term. The preliminary figure comes first and a final figure follows later.
Why it matters: The Federal Reserve (Fed) pays attention to what people expect for inflation because it can influence spending and price-setting, so this data can shape interest-rate expectations. Its importance is usually moderate to fairly high.
Usual market reaction: Markets usually compare the actual figure with the forecast. Higher-than-forecast inflation expectations may lead traders to think the Fed will keep rates high for longer, which tends to support the US dollar and bond yields and often weighs on gold. A lower-than-forecast figure usually has the opposite effect. Reactions tend to be stronger when the result differs a lot from expectations.

23:00 JPY BOJ Governor Ueda SpeaksBOJ Gov Ueda Speaks

What it is: Kazuo Ueda, Governor of the Bank of Japan (BOJ), gives a speech or public remarks about the economy and monetary policy.
Why it matters: The governor guides Japan's interest rate policy, so traders watch his words closely. It is usually seen as a high-importance event.
Usual market reaction: Traders usually listen for hints about whether the BOJ may raise interest rates or keep policy loose. If the tone is more hawkish than the market expects, the yen (JPY) often strengthens; if it is more dovish than expected, the yen tends to weaken. Prices can move sharply while he is speaking.

Friday 6 November 2026