Economic calendar
Times follow your own time zone automatically (change it below). Tap an event to see what it is, why it matters and how markets usually react.
Sunday 1 November 2026
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CAD
Daylight Saving Time Shift
Monday 2 November 2026
JPY Japan Manufacturing PMI (Final)Final Manufacturing PMI Forecast 53.3Previous 53.3
- What it is
- An index based on surveys of purchasing managers at Japanese factories about orders, output and hiring, compiled by S&P Global. The final reading is a revision of the earlier flash estimate.
- Why it matters
- A reading above 50 usually signals that manufacturing is expanding, and below 50 that it is shrinking. It is an early signal of economic health, but the final figure often matters less when it is close to the flash estimate.
- Usual market reaction
- Markets usually compare the actual figure with the forecast, which is often close to the flash number. A higher-than-forecast result tends to give the yen slight support as it points to a stronger economy, while a lower one often weighs on it. The reaction is usually smaller than for Bank of Japan announcements.
EUR German Retail Sales m/m Forecast 0.4%Previous 1.3%
- What it is
- The month-on-month change in retail sales in Germany, published by the Federal Statistical Office (Destatis).
- Why it matters
- Consumer spending is a major part of the economy, and Germany is the largest economy in the eurozone. The impact is usually low to moderate, and the data is often volatile and revised later.
- Usual market reaction
- Prices tend to react to the actual figure compared with the forecast. Higher-than-forecast retail sales usually support the euro (EUR) because they point to solid consumer spending, while lower-than-forecast sales tend to weigh on it. Traders often read it alongside inflation data and ECB comments.
EUR Spanish Manufacturing PMI Forecast 50.4Previous 51.0
- What it is
- A monthly survey of purchasing managers at Spanish factories, published by S&P Global. A reading above 50 suggests the manufacturing sector is expanding, while below 50 suggests it is contracting.
- Why it matters
- It comes out soon after the month ends, giving an early look at eurozone economic health, with Spain being one of the bloc's larger economies. Its market impact is usually moderate and smaller than the overall eurozone PMI.
- Usual market reaction
- Prices react to the actual figure compared with the forecast. A higher-than-forecast result usually supports the euro (EUR), while a lower one tends to weigh on it. Moves are often modest unless the surprise is large or matches the picture in other eurozone PMIs.
EUR Italian Manufacturing PMI Forecast 49.9Previous 50.4
- What it is
- A monthly survey of purchasing managers at Italian factories, published by S&P Global. A reading above 50 suggests expansion, while below 50 suggests contraction.
- Why it matters
- Italy is one of the eurozone's largest economies with a significant industrial sector, so the figure gives an early read on eurozone manufacturing. Its market impact is usually moderate.
- Usual market reaction
- Prices react to the actual figure compared with the forecast. A higher-than-forecast result usually supports the euro (EUR), while a lower one tends to weigh on it. Traders often pay more attention to the overall eurozone PMI, so single-country figures tend to cause only small moves.
EUR French Final Manufacturing PMI Forecast 49.3Previous 49.3
- What it is
- The final reading of France's manufacturing PMI, published by S&P Global. It updates the earlier flash estimate once more survey responses have been collected. Above 50 suggests expansion, while below 50 suggests contraction.
- Why it matters
- France is one of the eurozone's largest economies, but because the flash estimate is already known, the final reading is usually of fairly low importance.
- Usual market reaction
- Prices react to the actual figure compared with the forecast, which is usually set close to the flash number. A higher-than-forecast result usually supports the euro (EUR), while a lower one tends to weigh on it. Revisions are often small, so moves tend to be limited unless the final figure differs clearly from the flash.
EUR German Final Manufacturing PMI Forecast 54.2Previous 54.2
- What it is
- A survey-based index of conditions in Germany's factory sector, compiled by S&P Global from purchasing managers at manufacturers. The final reading revises the earlier flash estimate.
- Why it matters
- A reading above 50 signals the manufacturing sector is expanding, and below 50 signals contraction. Germany is the eurozone's largest economy, so traders use it to gauge European growth. It is usually of medium importance.
- Usual market reaction
- Prices usually react to the actual figure compared with the forecast. A higher-than-forecast result tends to support the euro, while a lower one tends to weigh on it. Final readings are often close to the flash estimate, so moves are often small unless the revision is notable.
EUR Eurozone Final Manufacturing PMIFinal Manufacturing PMI Forecast 52.4Previous 52.4
- What it is
- A survey-based index of factory-sector conditions across the whole eurozone, compiled by S&P Global from purchasing managers at manufacturers. The final reading revises the earlier flash estimate.
- Why it matters
- It is an early signal of the health of the European economy. A reading above 50 means expansion and below 50 means contraction. It is usually of medium importance for the euro.
- Usual market reaction
- Prices usually react to the actual figure compared with the forecast. A higher-than-forecast result tends to support the euro, while a lower one tends to weigh on it, as it may suggest the economy is stronger or weaker than expected. Final numbers are often close to the flash estimate, so the impact is often limited.
GBP UK Final Manufacturing PMIFinal Manufacturing PMI Forecast 52.8Previous 52.8
- What it is
- A survey-based index of factory-sector conditions in the United Kingdom, compiled by S&P Global from purchasing managers at manufacturers. The final reading revises the earlier flash estimate.
- Why it matters
- It shows whether UK manufacturing is expanding or contracting, with 50 as the dividing line. The Bank of England may take the broader economic picture into account when thinking about interest rates, so it is usually of medium importance for the pound.
- Usual market reaction
- Prices usually react to the actual figure compared with the forecast. A higher-than-forecast result tends to support the pound, while a lower one tends to weigh on it. Final readings are often close to the flash estimate, so reactions are often modest unless the revision is large.
EUR Bundesbank President Nagel SpeaksGerman Buba President Nagel Speaks
- What it is
- Joachim Nagel, president of Germany's central bank (the Bundesbank), speaks publicly. He is also a member of the ECB Governing Council, which sets interest rate policy for the eurozone.
- Why it matters
- Traders listen for hints about the future direction of ECB interest rates. The importance depends on what is said, and it is often greater when an ECB meeting is near.
- Usual market reaction
- Hawkish comments, such as worry about inflation or support for keeping rates high, tend to support the euro. Dovish comments, such as openness to rate cuts, tend to weigh on it. Markets often care more about a change in tone than about repeated views.
CAD Manufacturing PMI (Canada)Manufacturing PMI Previous 51.5
- What it is
- A survey of purchasing managers at Canadian factories about new orders, output and hiring, published by S&P Global. A reading above 50 means the manufacturing sector is expanding.
- Why it matters
- It comes out early in the month and gives a quick read on the economy, so traders watch it, though its importance is usually moderate.
- Usual market reaction
- Prices usually react to the actual figure compared with the forecast. A higher-than-forecast PMI often supports the Canadian dollar (CAD) as it points to a stronger economy, while a lower-than-forecast result tends to weigh on it, especially if the reading falls below 50.
Tuesday 3 November 2026
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JPY
Bank Holiday
EUR French Government Budget BalanceFrench Gov Budget Balance Previous -159.6B
- What it is
- A figure showing whether the French central government is running a budget deficit or surplus over the period so far. It is published by France's finance ministry.
- Why it matters
- It gives a view of France's public finances, and France is one of the eurozone's largest economies. Markets usually give it fairly low importance unless worries about debt and deficits are in focus.
- Usual market reaction
- This release often has no clear forecast, so its effect on the euro (EUR) is usually small. A smaller deficit than expected may ease fiscal worries and give the euro slight support, while a larger one may dent confidence a little in the euro and in French bonds.
GBP UK 10-Year Gilt Auction10-y Bond Auction Previous 5.42|3.6
- What it is
- The UK Debt Management Office (DMO) auctions 10-year government bonds (gilts) to raise money for the government.
- Why it matters
- The result shows how much demand there is for UK government debt and what it costs the country to borrow. It is usually of medium to fairly low importance, unless markets are worried about public debt.
- Usual market reaction
- Traders often look at the average yield and the bid-to-cover ratio compared with recent auctions and expectations. Stronger-than-expected demand tends to support confidence in gilts and the pound, while weak demand can push yields up and make the pound more volatile. The reaction is usually modest.
CAD BOC Governor Macklem SpeaksBOC Gov Macklem Speaks
- What it is
- Tiff Macklem, Governor of the Bank of Canada (BOC), gives a speech or public remarks about the Canadian economy and monetary policy.
- Why it matters
- As the person with the most influence over Canada's interest-rate direction, the Governor's words are closely watched. Importance depends on the content but is usually moderate to high.
- Usual market reaction
- Traders usually listen for hints about whether rates may be raised, held or cut, and for views on inflation and growth. A hawkish tone tends to support the Canadian dollar (CAD), while a dovish tone often weighs on it. Markets compare the remarks with what was already expected, and prices can be volatile during the speech or Q&A.
Wednesday 4 November 2026Today
EUR Bundesbank President Nagel SpeaksGerman Buba President Nagel Speaks
- What it is
- Joachim Nagel, president of Germany's central bank (the Bundesbank), speaks publicly. He is also a member of the ECB Governing Council, which sets interest rate policy for the eurozone.
- Why it matters
- Traders listen for hints about the future direction of ECB interest rates. The importance depends on what is said, and it is often greater when an ECB meeting is near.
- Usual market reaction
- Hawkish comments, such as worry about inflation or support for keeping rates high, tend to support the euro. Dovish comments, such as openness to rate cuts, tend to weigh on it. Markets often care more about a change in tone than about repeated views.
EUR Bundesbank President Nagel SpeaksGerman Buba President Nagel Speaks
- What it is
- Joachim Nagel, president of Germany's central bank (the Bundesbank), speaks publicly. He is also a member of the ECB Governing Council, which sets interest rate policy for the eurozone.
- Why it matters
- Traders listen for hints about the future direction of ECB interest rates. The importance depends on what is said, and it is often greater when an ECB meeting is near.
- Usual market reaction
- Hawkish comments, such as worry about inflation or support for keeping rates high, tend to support the euro. Dovish comments, such as openness to rate cuts, tend to weigh on it. Markets often care more about a change in tone than about repeated views.
JPY Monetary Base (YoY) – JapanMonetary Base y/y Forecast -14.0%Previous -15.2%
- What it is
- Data from the Bank of Japan (BoJ) showing the yearly change in the monetary base, which is the cash in circulation plus the deposits financial institutions hold at the BoJ.
- Why it matters
- It gives a sense of how much liquidity the BoJ is supplying and the direction of its policy, but its importance for markets is usually low.
- Usual market reaction
- Markets compare the actual figure with the forecast. Faster-than-expected growth may suggest looser policy and tends to weigh slightly on the JPY, while a lower-than-expected or negative figure may suggest less stimulus and often supports the JPY. The reaction is usually mild compared with BoJ meetings or speeches.
EUR Spanish Unemployment Change Forecast 18.7KPrevious 23.6K
- What it is
- This shows the monthly change in the number of registered unemployed people in Spain. It is published by Spain's Ministry of Labour.
- Why it matters
- It reflects the health of the Spanish labour market, one of the larger economies in the eurozone. However, it usually has only a small impact on markets.
- Usual market reaction
- Markets compare the actual figure with the forecast. This data works in reverse to most releases: a fall in unemployment bigger than forecast tends to give the euro (EUR) slight support, while a rise or a smaller fall than forecast may weigh slightly on it. Traders usually give more weight to eurozone-wide data.
EUR Spanish Services PMI Forecast 57.6Previous 58.3
- What it is
- This is a survey-based index of activity in Spain's services sector, compiled by S&P Global with HCOB.
- Why it matters
- A reading above 50 indicates the services sector is expanding, and below 50 indicates contraction. Services make up most of Spain's economy, so it is an early signal of economic direction. It is usually a low-to-medium impact release.
- Usual market reaction
- Markets compare the actual figure with the forecast. A PMI higher than forecast tends to give the euro (EUR) slight support, while a lower reading may weigh on it slightly. The impact is often limited because traders usually pay more attention to the eurozone-wide PMI.
EUR Italian Services PMI Forecast 51.4Previous 51.7
- What it is
- A survey of purchasing managers at Italian service companies, compiled by S&P Global and published under the HCOB brand. A reading above 50 signals the services sector is expanding, and below 50 signals it is contracting.
- Why it matters
- Services make up most of Italy's economy, and PMIs often come out earlier than official data, so traders use them to gauge the eurozone's direction. Its importance is usually moderate, and often smaller than the German or eurozone-wide PMIs.
- Usual market reaction
- Prices react to the actual figure compared with the forecast. A higher-than-forecast result usually supports the euro (EUR) because it points to a stronger economy, while a lower one tends to weigh on it. Moves from Italian data are often modest unless the figure is far from expectations.
EUR French Final Services PMI Forecast 48.4Previous 48.4
- What it is
- A survey of purchasing managers at French service companies, compiled by S&P Global under the HCOB brand. The final reading is a revision of the earlier flash estimate. A reading above 50 signals expansion.
- Why it matters
- France is one of the eurozone's largest economies and services make up a big share of it, so traders follow this to gauge economic health. Its importance is usually moderate because the market has often seen the flash figure already.
- Usual market reaction
- Prices react to the actual figure compared with the forecast, which is usually close to the flash reading. A higher-than-forecast result usually supports the euro (EUR), while a lower one tends to weigh on it. Moves are often larger when the final figure is clearly revised from the flash estimate.
EUR German Final Services PMI Forecast 51.7Previous 51.7
- What it is
- A survey of purchasing managers at German service companies, compiled by S&P Global under the HCOB brand. The final reading is a revision of the earlier flash estimate. A reading above 50 signals the services sector is expanding.
- Why it matters
- Germany is the eurozone's largest economy, so this data influences the view of the whole bloc and expectations for ECB policy. Its importance is usually moderate to fairly high.
- Usual market reaction
- Prices react to the actual figure compared with the forecast. A higher-than-forecast result usually supports the euro (EUR) because it suggests a stronger economy, and it may lead traders to think the ECB is in less of a hurry to cut rates. A lower result tends to weigh on the euro. Because final figures are often close to the flash, reactions are usually muted unless there is a big revision.
EUR Eurozone Final Services PMIFinal Services PMI Forecast 51.7Previous 51.7
- What it is
- A survey of purchasing managers at service companies across the eurozone, compiled by S&P Global under the HCOB brand. The final reading is a revision of the earlier flash estimate. A reading above 50 signals expansion.
- Why it matters
- It is a fairly early gauge of the eurozone's overall economic health that the ECB and investors pay attention to. Its importance is usually moderate to fairly high.
- Usual market reaction
- Prices react to the actual figure compared with the forecast. A higher-than-forecast result usually supports the euro (EUR) and may influence views on ECB interest rates, while a lower one tends to weigh on it. Because final figures are often close to the flash estimate, markets tend to move more when there is a clear revision. Pairs such as EUR/USD are often affected directly.
GBP UK Final Services PMIFinal Services PMI Forecast 53.1Previous 53.1
- What it is
- A survey of purchasing managers at British service companies, published by S&P Global and CIPS. The final reading revises the flash (preliminary) estimate released earlier.
- Why it matters
- Services make up most of the UK economy, so traders use it to gauge economic health; a reading above 50 usually signals expansion. The final figure usually has a moderate impact because the flash estimate is already known.
- Usual market reaction
- Prices react to the actual figure compared with the forecast. A higher-than-forecast result usually supports the pound (GBP), while a lower one tends to weigh on it. If the final number differs a lot from the flash estimate, the move can be larger.
EUR Eurozone Core CPI Flash Estimate (y/y)Core CPI Flash Estimate y/y Forecast 2.5%Previous 2.5%
- What it is
- This is the first, early estimate of core inflation in the eurozone, which leaves out volatile food and energy prices. It is published by Eurostat and compares prices with the same period a year earlier.
- Why it matters
- The European Central Bank (ECB) pays close attention to core inflation when setting interest rates, so traders watch it closely. It is usually considered a high-importance release.
- Usual market reaction
- Prices tend to react to the actual figure compared with the forecast. A higher-than-forecast reading often suggests the ECB may keep rates high for longer, which usually supports the euro, while a lower-than-forecast reading often weighs on it. Moves in the euro can also show up in pairs such as EUR/USD.
EUR Eurozone CPI Flash Estimate y/yCPI Flash Estimate y/y Forecast 4.0%Previous 3.8%
- What it is
- This is the early estimate of the Eurozone Consumer Price Index (CPI) compared with a year earlier, released before the final figure. It is published by Eurostat, the European Union's statistics office.
- Why it matters
- Inflation is a main factor in the European Central Bank's (ECB) interest-rate decisions, and the flash estimate is the earliest reading, so it usually draws strong attention and is of high importance for the euro.
- Usual market reaction
- Prices tend to react to the actual figure compared with the forecast. Higher-than-forecast inflation may suggest the ECB keeps rates high for longer, which often supports the euro (EUR), while a lower reading usually weighs on it by raising the chance of easier policy. Moves may show up in EUR pairs and sometimes in European stock indices.
CAD Canada Trade BalanceTrade Balance Forecast 4.8BPrevious 4.2B
- What it is
- The difference between the value of Canada's exports and imports of goods and services, published by Statistics Canada.
- Why it matters
- Canada relies heavily on exports, especially oil and commodities sold to the US, so this figure reflects demand for Canadian goods. Its importance is usually moderate.
- Usual market reaction
- Prices react to the actual figure compared with the forecast. A better-than-forecast balance (a larger surplus or smaller deficit) usually supports the Canadian dollar (CAD), while a worse one tends to weigh on it. Changes in oil prices can also influence exports and how CAD reacts.
Thursday 5 November 2026
JPY BoJ Monetary Policy Meeting MinutesMonetary Policy Meeting Minutes
- What it is
- A summary of the discussions at the Bank of Japan's previous monetary policy meeting, published some time after the meeting. It shows what board members said about the economy, inflation and interest rates.
- Why it matters
- Traders read it for clues about when the BoJ might change policy or interest rates. Its importance is usually moderate, and it can matter more when markets are focused on a possible policy shift.
- Usual market reaction
- There is no single number to compare, so traders look at whether the tone is more hawkish (leaning towards higher rates or less stimulus) or more dovish than expected. A hawkish tone often supports the yen, while a cautious tone with ongoing easy policy tends to weigh on it. Because the meeting has already happened, the reaction is often smaller than on the decision day.
JPY Japan 10-Year Bond Auction10-y Bond Auction Previous 3.10|3.8
- What it is
- This is an auction in which Japan's Ministry of Finance sells 10-year government bonds to investors and financial institutions to raise funds for the government.
- Why it matters
- The result shows how strong demand is for Japanese government debt and where bond yields may be heading, which traders watch regularly. Its importance is usually moderate.
- Usual market reaction
- Markets often look at the bid-to-cover ratio and the average yield compared with the previous auction and expectations. Strong demand and higher yields tend to support the yen, while weak demand often pressures bond prices and can cause short-lived volatility. The usual link to gold or stock indices is not very clear-cut.
EUR German Factory Orders (m/m)German Factory Orders m/m Forecast 4.6%Previous -10.6%
- What it is
- This figure, published by Germany's Federal Statistical Office (Destatis), shows the monthly change in the value of new orders placed with German factories.
- Why it matters
- Orders are a forward-looking sign of future production and the health of German industry, the largest economy in the eurozone. Its importance is usually moderate.
- Usual market reaction
- Markets compare the actual figure with the forecast. A higher-than-forecast result usually points to a stronger economy and tends to support the euro, while a lower one often weighs on it. The data can swing a lot because of large one-off orders, so reactions are sometimes muted, and the DAX index may also move with the economic outlook.
EUR French Industrial Production (m/m)French Industrial Production m/m Forecast 0.3%Previous -0.3%
- What it is
- This figure, published by France's national statistics office (INSEE), shows the monthly change in the volume of output from factories, mines and utilities.
- Why it matters
- It helps show the health of French manufacturing and the growth outlook, but it usually moves markets less than German data or eurozone-wide figures.
- Usual market reaction
- Markets compare the actual figure with the forecast. A higher-than-forecast result often points to a stronger economy and may give the euro slight support, while a lower one can weigh on it a little. Price moves are usually modest unless the result is far from expectations.
EUR Italian Retail Sales m/m Forecast 0.0%Previous 0.3%
- What it is
- This measures the monthly change in the value of retail goods sold in Italy. It is published by Italy's national statistics office, ISTAT.
- Why it matters
- Consumer spending is a major part of any economy, and Italy is one of the eurozone's larger economies. However, this release usually has fairly low importance for the euro.
- Usual market reaction
- Prices react to the actual figure compared with the forecast. Retail sales above the forecast are often seen as a sign of firm consumer demand and may give the euro (EUR) slight support, while a weaker result tends to weigh on it slightly. The market impact is usually limited unless the figure is far from expectations.
GBP UK Construction PMIConstruction PMI Forecast 46.4Previous 46.1
- What it is
- This is a survey-based index of purchasing managers at UK construction companies. It is compiled by S&P Global and CIPS.
- Why it matters
- A reading above 50 usually signals the construction sector is expanding, while below 50 suggests contraction. Traders use it as a clue to UK economic momentum, though it is generally less important than the services and manufacturing PMIs.
- Usual market reaction
- Prices react to the actual figure compared with the forecast. A PMI above the forecast is often read as a sign of a stronger economy and tends to support the pound (GBP), while a lower one usually weighs on it. The reaction is often light to moderate.
EUR Eurozone PPI m/mPPI m/m Forecast 2.5%Previous 1.9%
- What it is
- This measures the monthly change in the prices producers receive for their goods at the factory gate. It is published by Eurostat, the European Union's statistics office.
- Why it matters
- Producer prices often act as an early signal for consumer inflation, so they feed into views on the European Central Bank's (ECB) interest rate path. They are usually less important than CPI.
- Usual market reaction
- Prices react to the actual figure compared with the forecast. A PPI reading higher than forecast is often read as rising inflation pressure, which may suggest the ECB keeps rates higher for longer and tends to support the euro (EUR). A lower-than-forecast result usually weighs on the euro, though the reaction is often modest.
EUR Spanish 10-Year Bond AuctionSpanish 10-y Bond Auction Previous 4.18|1.6
- What it is
- Spain's Treasury auctions 10-year government bonds to investors to raise money for the government. The results show the average yield and the bid-to-cover ratio, which compares demand with the amount offered.
- Why it matters
- The result shows how confident investors are in Spain's public finances. It is usually considered a low-to-medium importance event.
- Usual market reaction
- Traders usually compare the result with the previous auction, or with the forecast if there is one. Strong demand and a lower-than-expected yield tend to be read as confidence and may slightly support the euro. Weak demand or a higher-than-expected yield can signal worry and may weigh a little on the euro, though the overall effect on the currency is often limited.
EUR French 10-Year Bond AuctionFrench 10-y Bond Auction Previous 4.93|2.0
- What it is
- France's debt agency, Agence France Trésor, auctions 10-year government bonds to investors. The results show the average yield and the bid-to-cover ratio, which compares demand with the amount offered.
- Why it matters
- France is one of the eurozone's largest economies, so the result reflects investor confidence in France and in European bond markets. It is usually considered a low-to-medium importance event.
- Usual market reaction
- Traders usually compare the result with the previous auction, or with the forecast if there is one. Strong demand and a lower-than-expected yield tend to be read as confidence and may slightly support the euro. Weak demand or a higher-than-expected yield can signal fiscal worries and may weigh a little on the euro, though the effect on the currency is usually not large.
GBP BOE Official Bank RateOfficial Bank Rate Forecast 4.00%Previous 3.75%
- What it is
- The main interest rate of the United Kingdom, set by the Bank of England's (BOE) Monetary Policy Committee.
- Why it matters
- It is one of the biggest drivers of the pound, because interest rates affect borrowing costs, inflation and capital flows.
- Usual market reaction
- Prices usually react to the actual rate compared with the forecast. A rate higher than expected, or a hawkish signal from the BOE, tends to support the pound, while a lower one often weighs on it. Gold is usually affected only indirectly, through moves in the US dollar. If the result matches expectations, the accompanying statement often matters more.
GBP BOE Monetary Policy Report
- What it is
- A quarterly report from the Bank of England (BOE), released alongside its rate decision, with forecasts for inflation and economic growth.
- Why it matters
- It shows how the BOE sees the economy and inflation, which is linked to the future path of interest rates. It is usually a major event for the GBP.
- Usual market reaction
- Traders usually listen for hints about interest rates. Higher inflation forecasts or a firm tone often support the GBP, while weaker growth forecasts or a softer tone tend to weigh on it. Markets often react to what differs from expectations and can be volatile around the press conference.
GBP BOE Monetary Policy SummaryMonetary Policy Summary
- What it is
- A document the Bank of England (BOE) publishes alongside its interest rate announcement, explaining the reasons for its decision and its view on inflation and the economy.
- Why it matters
- Traders read it to judge whether the BOE is leaning toward raising or cutting rates. It is usually considered highly important because it comes out with the rate decision.
- Usual market reaction
- Prices usually react to the wording compared with what the market expected. If the tone is more hawkish than expected, such as worry about inflation, the pound often gains support; if it is softer or hints at rate cuts, the pound tends to weaken. Pairs like GBP/USD can swing sharply when it is released.
GBP MPC Official Bank Rate Votes Forecast 7-0-2Previous 3-0-6
- What it is
- A breakdown of how each member of the BOE's Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) voted, for example to hold, raise or cut rates. It is released with the rate decision.
- Why it matters
- The vote split helps show where rates might go next. When members disagree strongly, the market usually pays closer attention.
- Usual market reaction
- Prices usually react to the votes compared with what the market expected. If more members vote to raise rates than forecast, the pound often gains support; if more vote to cut than expected, it tends to weaken. Traders often treat dissenting votes as a clue that policy may be changing direction.
GBP BOE Governor Bailey SpeaksBOE Gov Bailey Speaks
- What it is
- A speech or public comments by the Governor of the Bank of England (BOE), Andrew Bailey, on the economy, inflation and monetary policy.
- Why it matters
- The Governor is the most influential voice at the BOE, so his words are often used to read where interest rates may head. Its importance depends on the topic and timing.
- Usual market reaction
- Traders usually listen for hints about rate hikes or cuts and compare the tone with what the market expected. A more hawkish tone than expected tends to support the pound, while a softer tone or worry about slower growth often weighs on it. Prices can be volatile during the speech, especially in any question-and-answer session.
CAD BOC Governor Macklem SpeaksBOC Gov Macklem Speaks
- What it is
- Tiff Macklem, Governor of the Bank of Canada (BOC), gives a speech or public remarks about the Canadian economy and monetary policy.
- Why it matters
- As the person with the most influence over Canada's interest-rate direction, the Governor's words are closely watched. Importance depends on the content but is usually moderate to high.
- Usual market reaction
- Traders usually listen for hints about whether rates may be raised, held or cut, and for views on inflation and growth. A hawkish tone tends to support the Canadian dollar (CAD), while a dovish tone often weighs on it. Markets compare the remarks with what was already expected, and prices can be volatile during the speech or Q&A.
Friday 6 November 2026
EUR Bundesbank President Nagel SpeaksGerman Buba President Nagel Speaks
- What it is
- Joachim Nagel, president of Germany's central bank (the Bundesbank), speaks publicly. He is also a member of the ECB Governing Council, which sets interest rate policy for the eurozone.
- Why it matters
- Traders listen for hints about the future direction of ECB interest rates. The importance depends on what is said, and it is often greater when an ECB meeting is near.
- Usual market reaction
- Hawkish comments, such as worry about inflation or support for keeping rates high, tend to support the euro. Dovish comments, such as openness to rate cuts, tend to weigh on it. Markets often care more about a change in tone than about repeated views.
EUR ECB President Lagarde Speaks
- What it is
- Christine Lagarde, President of the European Central Bank (ECB), gives a speech or answers questions at an event, usually discussing the eurozone economy and monetary policy.
- Why it matters
- The ECB sets eurozone interest rates, so the President's words are often watched closely, especially for fresh hints about the direction of rates.
- Usual market reaction
- Traders usually listen for her view on inflation and growth and for any hint about whether rates may be raised, held or cut. A hawkish tone often supports the euro, while a dovish tone tends to weigh on it. Prices usually react to how the message differs from what the market already expected, and if nothing new is said the move may be small.
CAD Canada Annual Budget ReleaseAnnual Budget Release
- What it is
- Canada's federal government, through the Department of Finance, presents its plans for revenue, spending, the deficit and borrowing for the fiscal year.
- Why it matters
- The budget shows the direction of fiscal policy, such as spending levels and government debt, which can affect economic growth and confidence in the Canadian dollar. Its importance is usually moderate and depends on whether it contains surprises.
- Usual market reaction
- Markets usually compare the actual numbers, such as the size of the deficit and borrowing plans, with what analysts expected. If the plan looks more disciplined or more growth-friendly than expected, the Canadian dollar (CAD) often gets support, while a much larger deficit or borrowing need than expected can weigh on it. The budget can also influence bond yields and interest-rate expectations, but reactions tend to be modest without surprises.
JPY Japan Average Cash Earnings y/yAverage Cash Earnings y/y Forecast 3.8%Previous 3.8%
- What it is
- This measures the change in average total pay for workers in Japan, including bonuses and overtime, compared with a year earlier. It is published by Japan's Ministry of Health, Labour and Welfare.
- Why it matters
- The Bank of Japan (BoJ) watches wages because sustained pay growth supports inflation and can influence interest rate decisions. The release is usually of medium to high importance for JPY pairs.
- Usual market reaction
- Prices tend to react to the actual figure compared with the forecast. A higher-than-forecast result usually supports the yen, as markets may see a greater chance of a BoJ rate hike, while a lower one usually weighs on it. The reaction can vary depending on what else is going on in the market.
EUR German Industrial Production m/m Forecast 0.0%Previous 2.0%
- What it is
- This measures the monthly change in output from Germany's factories, energy producers and other industry compared with the previous month. It is published by Germany's federal statistics office, Destatis.
- Why it matters
- Germany is the largest economy in the eurozone and relies heavily on manufacturing, so this figure helps show the health of both the German and eurozone economies. It is usually of medium importance.
- Usual market reaction
- Prices tend to react to the actual figure compared with the forecast. A higher-than-forecast result usually supports the euro and may help German stocks, while a lower one usually weighs on the euro. The figure often swings from month to month, so the reaction is not always strong.
GBP UK Lloyds House Price Index m/mLloyds HPI m/m Forecast 0.0%Previous 0.0%
- What it is
- This index measures the monthly change in UK house prices compared with the previous month, based on mortgage data from Lloyds Banking Group.
- Why it matters
- House prices reflect consumer strength, borrowing demand and the effect of interest rates on the UK economy. The release is usually of low to medium importance for the market.
- Usual market reaction
- Prices tend to react to the actual figure compared with the forecast. A higher-than-forecast rise in house prices usually gives the pound slight support, as it may point to firm demand, while a lower result tends to weigh on it slightly. Moves are often small unless the surprise is large.
EUR French Trade Balance Forecast -5.8BPrevious -6.1B
- What it is
- This is the monthly gap between the value of France's exports and imports of goods, published by French customs. Exports above imports give a surplus, while the reverse gives a deficit.
- Why it matters
- The trade balance shows foreign demand for French goods and how competitive they are. Markets usually give it fairly low weight compared with eurozone inflation or jobs data.
- Usual market reaction
- Prices tend to react to the actual figure compared with the forecast. A better-than-forecast balance, such as a smaller deficit, usually gives the euro slight support, while a worse result tends to weigh on it slightly. The effect is generally limited.
EUR Eurozone Retail Sales m/mRetail Sales m/m Forecast -0.1%Previous 0.1%
- What it is
- A figure published by Eurostat, the EU's statistics office, showing the month-on-month change in the volume of retail sales across the eurozone.
- Why it matters
- Consumer spending is a big part of the economy, so this release helps gauge economic health. It usually has a medium level of importance for EUR.
- Usual market reaction
- Markets tend to compare the actual figure with the forecast. Retail sales higher than forecast usually support the euro because they suggest stronger spending, while a lower figure tends to weigh on it. The reaction can be larger if the data changes expectations about ECB interest rates.
GBP MPC Member Pill Speaks
- What it is
- A speech or interview by Huw Pill, Chief Economist of the Bank of England (BoE) and a member of its Monetary Policy Committee (MPC).
- Why it matters
- MPC members vote on UK interest rates, so their comments help the market judge the BoE's likely stance. The importance is usually medium.
- Usual market reaction
- Traders usually listen for his views on inflation and the jobs market, and whether he leans toward holding or cutting rates. Prices tend to react to his tone compared with market expectations. A more hawkish tone than expected often supports GBP, while a more dovish one may weigh on it.
CAD Canada Employment ChangeEmployment Change Forecast 14.6KPrevious -68.3K
- What it is
- This shows how many more or fewer people in Canada had a job in the previous month. It is published by Statistics Canada as part of its Labour Force Survey.
- Why it matters
- Employment reflects the strength of the Canadian economy and is one of the factors the Bank of Canada considers when setting interest rates, so it is an important release for the Canadian dollar.
- Usual market reaction
- Prices usually react to the actual figure compared with the forecast. A higher-than-forecast job gain tends to support the Canadian dollar, as it suggests a healthy economy, while a lower-than-forecast or negative result often weighs on it. USD/CAD can be especially volatile when this is released alongside US jobs data.
CAD Canada Unemployment RateUnemployment Rate Forecast 6.5%Previous 6.5%
- What it is
- The unemployment rate is the share of people in the labour force who are without a job and looking for work. It is published monthly by Statistics Canada.
- Why it matters
- It is a key gauge of the Canadian job market and one of the inputs the Bank of Canada looks at when considering interest rates. It is usually released together with the employment change figure.
- Usual market reaction
- Prices usually react to the actual figure compared with the forecast. Unlike job-growth data, a lower-than-forecast unemployment rate tends to support the Canadian dollar because it points to a strong job market, while a higher-than-forecast rate often weighs on it. The reaction often also depends on the employment figure released at the same time.
CAD Ivey PMI (Canada)Ivey PMI Forecast 57.7Previous 58.2
- What it is
- The Ivey Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) is published by the Ivey Business School and is based on a survey of purchasing managers across Canada about business activity.
- Why it matters
- Purchasing managers often see changes in demand early, so the index gives a timely read on the health of the Canadian economy. A reading above 50 usually signals expansion and below 50 contraction. Its importance is usually moderate.
- Usual market reaction
- Markets usually compare the actual reading with the forecast. A higher-than-forecast result tends to support the Canadian dollar (CAD) because it points to a stronger economy, while a lower-than-forecast result often weighs on it. Moves are usually smaller than for major data such as jobs figures or Bank of Canada rate decisions.
JPY BOJ Governor Ueda SpeaksBOJ Gov Ueda Speaks
- What it is
- Kazuo Ueda, Governor of the Bank of Japan (BOJ), gives a speech or public remarks about the economy and monetary policy.
- Why it matters
- The governor guides Japan's interest rate policy, so traders watch his words closely. It is usually seen as a high-importance event.
- Usual market reaction
- Traders usually listen for hints about whether the BOJ may raise interest rates or keep policy loose. If the tone is more hawkish than the market expects, the yen (JPY) often strengthens; if it is more dovish than expected, the yen tends to weaken. Prices can move sharply while he is speaking.
Calendar data from Forex Factory. Explanations are written by AI for education, not investment advice.